Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 13.962131 15.831315 17.970690 20.626070 23.869711 27.751485 32.823763
2025-03-16 11.259205 13.483382 16.242249 19.994230 25.093477 31.989646 42.416945
2025-03-23 9.902561 12.290414 15.415911 19.946629 26.605871 36.511018 53.437198
2025-03-30 8.689202 11.050211 14.257534 19.123095 26.700307 38.830685 61.748791
2025-04-06 7.707453 9.981609 13.158854 18.150996 26.290542 40.133203 68.658789
2025-04-13 6.975904 9.174557 12.320896 17.417886 26.075193 41.638701 76.501235
2025-04-20 7.019410 9.466911 13.110700 19.325749 30.658836 53.184052 112.454937
2025-04-27 6.756916 9.273452 13.125606 19.944320 33.051950 61.222108 146.111348
2025-05-04 6.254692 8.669839 12.426115 19.220199 32.696980 63.085985 163.129020
2025-05-11 6.051728 8.510761 12.425678 19.737936 34.951251 71.941482 213.084293
2025-05-18 5.728849 8.135684 12.028762 19.463030 35.458239 76.542641 252.432259
2025-05-25 5.449588 7.810234 11.686133 19.245580 36.048644 81.637183 302.194204
2025-06-01 5.237399 7.592933 11.534249 19.432041 37.749986 91.260790 400.742059
2025-06-08 4.925644 7.191242 11.026304 18.841306 37.461125 94.540095 469.022382
2025-06-15 4.722631 6.957557 10.798027 18.798120 38.553582 103.252408 615.301150
2025-06-22 4.439905 6.571425 10.262634 18.040048 37.610730 104.034007 690.529761
2025-06-29 4.161329 6.178250 9.689172 17.143866 36.144207 102.241412 734.061286
2025-07-06 3.932163 5.859356 9.234656 16.466976 35.184128 102.266617 811.307575
2025-07-13 4.022622 6.098802 9.842730 18.226686 41.629879 139.562313 2075.614986
2025-07-20 3.961844 6.066423 9.926006 18.795960 44.718641 164.645548 4251.698496
2025-07-27 3.770781 5.790299 9.511905 18.129486 43.658232 165.438958 5235.533415
2025-08-03 3.712044 5.750518 9.564166 18.606091 46.572019 194.136973 14417.450500
2025-08-10 3.583382 5.576330 9.333904 18.353078 46.892190 206.084104 29808.899698